Iran’s leader Khamenei commented on Israel, his advice when I joined the broadcast with a special guest or Scott Lucas who is a professor of international politics at the Clinton Institute. University College Dublin A Scott US rollers debt is what really matters to Hezbollah and it’s back. Iran Shash assassination official English role he’s a law firm helping is a serious blow that will take you some time to recover. It’s symbolic blow you know Nasrallah had heard of Hezbollah political operation as a whole. It’s leeches with other groups, it’s military operation ah he was the leader for over thirty years since he was thirty-five years old.
came to power in the nineteen nineties, there’s no Hezbollah person that can replace him at this point but I think equally important although it’s not in the headlines is that almost every important Hezbollah military commander has been assassinated in recent weeks. Israel hasn’t just taken out Nasrallah. They have removed almost all of the senior leadership of Hezbollah, know the workplace of Hezbollah, these leaders will reach up its ranks and promote people, they do not have the experience yet. They do not have the experience that Nasrallah and others had. Also you are not just talking about the personnel that have been killed, the entire communications of Hezbollah has been taken apart with the page, the walkie talkies a touch that rolly two weeks ago Hezbollah will not disappear, Iran will not disappear.
Right now it has a law in place supporting it and the Iranian regime is very defensive. They have very few options, except I think the very risky way would be to fire missiles directly at Israel. Nasrallah has been removed, what will he do, you think Israel attacks are now state, I think Israel continues air strikes or in cross Lebanon they continue to attack Hezbollah targets. They keep trying to assassinate any leaders that are left at this point, I don’t think Israel will do a ground invasion, which was threatened by the head of its defense forces. I think that was always the plan here, we don’t need to do a ground invasion to weaken Hezbollah, I think the problem now is that Israel will have a prompter first and foremost for the Lebanese people, because with love in the wallet, it’s unlikely that it will be at the point of collapse.
This was a country that was already economically crippled, it has serious political difficulties, it’s a very deeply divided country. You know you can see a country going into chaos, I don’t think Israel can risk taking the city and ground forces. Because they would be trapped as an occupying force in a country that could bring back the chaos that we saw in love a generation ago when remember it was in the midst of a very deadly civil war. Scott you talked about Peter attacks and you also talked about our taking out Nasrallah, it’s big guess would you say that it was probably unnecessary given that Israel actually had the firepower to take out Nasrallah.
You’ll touch on the pager and miss the first phase or the incident that ended with the killing of Nasrallah yesterday. A lot of civilians were killed in the buildings that were attacked, that’s why touch on the page or this part of what you have there? Don’t you have the Balkan Hezbollah’s communications, is they stopped using cell phones because they were vulnerable, they went to pagers, then the next day they were attacked walkie talkies, so the only way that Hezbollah leaders can really communicate with each other because they’re at war with Israel is they try to meet face to face when they meet face to face. As he did yesterday in Beirut’s main coach, why is Israel the rock? Say about Israel’s objective and the impact on the ceasefire talks. There will be no six actors I mean let’s be realistic here because there were two objectives that will continue. Which will also bring in Gaza. The first was objective V.