Vice President Kamala Harris moments ago in the battleground state of Wisconsin with former Republican congresswoman Liz Cheney asking Americans to put patriotism ahead of partisanship. If the people of Wisconsin and our nation are willing to do the same things that Lyst did to stand up for the rule of law, her democratic ideals and the Constitution of the United States, together we know we can forge a new way forward. Not as members of a single party but as Americans showing up from one red county to the next, a county that has voted for Trump by twenty-five to twenty-six points both times, but this is the state of Wisconsin where Harris has taken a lead, and actually should win by a majority of seven in the state show, according to an updated analysis from the Cook Political Report. Vice President Kamala Harris with a slight lead and we had seen that kind of trend back toward Trump in some polling and now back to where that trend was.
We wanna bring me with Amy Walter, Walter publisher and editor in chief of the Cook Political Report, Harris said. So let’s talk about this new analysis as you go through these seven states everything comes down to the East. In almost every case you see a slight edge to the hairs, so what does his path to victory look like from what you’re seeing. We’ve teamed up with a good polling farm, one from Democratic BSG and one from Republican GS Strategy they went out in the field in mid-September looking at what voters are feeling, not just the head-to-head raised about whether they’re going to vote for Trump or whether they’re going to vote for Harris but what are some of the underlying issues, what are the issues that are motivating these voters, who do they perceive as better able to handle those issues. What we saw in the head-to-head numbers and there hasn’t been a lot of movement between August and now, just very slightly on the edge of a point or two not even a point or just basically a point one where the other so the race is pretty stable.
But as you pointed out there have been some significant changes underneath that, particularly in the way voters now view Harris’ ability to handle the inflation issue. We had a six-point lead with those battleground state voters on that question in August and Trump had a six-point lead today on that question, even on the immigration issue where Trump still has the edge. It’s now down to nine points from fourteen points earlier in August. So I think you know there’s some good news for Harris. On the issues where Trump is strongest, she has seen some movement. The challenge for Harris though still remains that when you look at the undecided voters or those who lean toward a soft lead, maybe a third party candidate, their number one concern is the economy and inflation and they see Trump having the advantage on that issue, which is why they’re not voting for Donald Trump right now. They really don’t like him the way he behaves. You know too much about them as individuals is what’s keeping them from pulling the lever right now.
Another thought that we found very interesting from Woods is that there are several other Republican candidates who could make this race look very different. If they were at the top of the ticket, but this is the ticket that the Republicans have according to your analysis, I know you’ve been going through those states. You’re showing your slight lead in almost every one except for Georgia. That flipped from where the candidates were in May but that still has that slight edge that Trump has. You know this is a very competitive state that Biden won by only eleven thousand votes last time. What we’re seeing in the polls right now. is that Donald Trump is getting a bigger show. The share of African American versus.